On August 6, about a week after issuing a sweeping 25 per cent tariff on all Indian imports, US President Donald Trump announced a 25 per cent additional tariff on India over its imports of Russian oil. The new measure raises tariffs on some Indian goods to as high as 50 per cent.
This is a wake-up call. This wasn’t just a trade policy decision. What started as strong bilateral cooperation has now become a strategic risk point. The US has been one of India’s most important defence partners recently, providing equipment and technology transfers. However, this relationship has also led to asymmetries. In times of diplomatic strain, these asymmetries turn into leverage. In a single stroke, the US has demonstrated its willingness to apply pressure on India for geopolitical ends. The tools may be economic, but the target is strategic.
This sets a dangerous precedent. In an era of great-power competition, India must keep the ability to make decisions in its national interest without fearing retaliation. Other than economic consequences, the tariffs also hold symbolic significance. They indicate a change in US expectations and a more assertive stance toward India’s foreign policy independence.
Trump and the US double standards
India’s increasing trade with Russia is being criticised, yet Western powers maintain stronger economic ties with Moscow. In 2024, India’s trade with Russia rose to $68.7 billion, mainly due to energy imports such as crude oil, coal, and fertilisers. That’s a tenfold rise compared to 2021 levels. Meanwhile, the EU maintained approximately $78 billion in total trade with Russia during the same period, with about $25 billion spent on fossil fuels alone.
Despite sanctions and vocal opposition to Moscow’s actions, Europe remains one of Russia’s largest trading partners. The United States, while engaging in much less trade, still imported around $5.2 billion in goods and services from Russia in 2024, primarily industrial inputs. Even in the first half of 2025, US imports from Russia totalled approximately $2.5 billion.
The contrast is clear: India, while pressured to reduce its ties with Russia, is not operating in isolation. The extent of US and EU trade with Moscow underscores a geopolitical double standard. India faces penalties for engaging in trade that others continue to pursue secretly. This context is crucial when evaluating India’s strategic choices. What one country sees as a national security concern, another may view as an economic necessity.
An independent defence posture
India’s ongoing partnership with Russia, especially in energy and defence, has become a point of controversy. But the real lesson here isn’t about oil. It’s about resilience. In the current geopolitical climate, where alliances are fluid and strategic alignments unpredictable, overreliance on any single partner, even the United States, is risky.
Strategic autonomy offers a path to a more secure future, demanding diversified dependencies, redundant supply lines, and domestic capacity. After all, India’s armed forces operate in a complex threat environment with active, contested borders with both China and Pakistan. A sudden disruption in critical defence supply chains could have immediate, even disastrous, consequences. Here are five steps to prevent that from happening:
For clarifications/queries, please contact Public Talk of India at:
+91-98119 03979 publictalkofindia@gmail.com
![]()
For clarifications/queries,
please contact Public Talk of India at: